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Peterson, Cecilia Mosca (2007). "Enhancing Global Health: Patterns of Potential Human Progress" Paper presented at the 4th annual conference of the HDCA, 18-20 September 2007, New York, USA.
This paper lays out our global health forecasting framework, the rationale behind our methodology, exploratory analyses, and a plan for moving forward. The completed project will result in the development of a publicly and freely available policy analysis tool. Users will be able to forecast health outcomes out to mid/late-century and consider the leverage points for intervention. Proposed interventions of interest include those that target health behavior (e.g. smoking), health spending, and health systems capacity.