Dickson, Janet R. (2007). "Education and Human Development: Patterns of Potential Human Progress" Paper presented at the 4th annual conference of the HDCA, 18-20 September 2007, New York, USA.

This paper reports on the development and early use of a forecasting system for exploring the future of global education and its relationships to broader human development. Although the central purpose of the broader project is to explore global educational and human development paths and to investigate human leverage to affect those paths, the primary purpose of this paper is to introduce the tool under development. Provision and consideration of its early results in historic context and relative to other forecasts helps us evaluate its strengths and weaknesses and determine the next steps for the project.